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Scuttlebutt News:
Weather Forecasting - 2008 Olympic Games Sailing Events
Qingdao, China - Racing scheduled for August 9-21
Weather forecasting is provided by PredictWind.com, whose founder Jon Bilger was in charge of the weather team for the Alinghi team - America’s Cups winner in 2003 and 2007.
Any reproduction of the information herein must credit as follows: PredictWind.com/Scuttlebutt
August 6 - August 7 - August 8 - August 9 - August 10
August 11 - August 12 - August 13 - August 14 - August 15
August 16 - August 17 - August 18 - August 19 - August 20 - August 21
Thursday, August 21 - Day Thirteen
Winds are expected to be from the ESE direction at 15 knots, steadily increasing to 20 knots by late afternoon.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Wednesday, August 20 - Day Twelve
Both models in agreement for today - around 5 knots from SE all day. Outlook for Thursday is 15 knots and Friday is 20 knots!
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Tuesday, August 19 - Day Eleven
Big difference between the models in terms of direction today. - GFS model shows wind strength of around 6 knots, from SW most of the afternoon. Outlook for Wednesday is east at 10 knots, with Thursday (and Friday) looking like 18knots from the north.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Monday, August 18 - Day Ten
Both weather models show the same forecast - NW 20 knots in the morning, decreasing to 15 knots by start time, and 8 knots by late afternoon.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Sunday, August 17 - Day Nine
Both models are quite different but both show strong winds for today - the CMC looks the most likely with Easterly winds around 20 knots for most of the day. Wind strength moderating Monday with 15 knots late morning decreasing to 8 knots by late afternoon.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Saturday, August 16 - Day Eight
The stronger winds predicted for today will stay further offshore and so it is another light forecast. Both models show Northerly winds of 10 knots but dying out by start time to less than 5 knots. By late afternoon an Easterly breeze builds to 10 knots, but possibly too late for racing.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Friday, August 15 - Day Seven
The wind speed and direction graphs were not included today as they were not providing meaningful data. Unfortunately only the CMC model available Friday morning as the GFS is behind schedule. CMC shows NE winds today, with the big question of how much the mountains will shelter the race area. The forecast maps best describe the forecast with NE winds from 10-20 knots but some light patches depending on the sheltering from the moutains.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Thursday, August 14 - Day Six
A big difference between the models this morning and so some uncertainty, but the GFS model looks to be on track. GFS shows wind strength to be less than 4 knots most of the afternoon. Wind direction is variable but mainly offshore from the West. Good news is that stronger winds are forecasted for the next 4 days with wind strength around 15 knots most days.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Wednesday, August 13 - Day Five
Both models are showing wind strength to be 5 knots or less (estimating the wind gradient from 40m height in model to 5m height). Wind direction from SE.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Tuesday, August 12 - Day Four
Both models are showing wind strength to be 8 knots or less. Wind direction from ESE. The GFS model show significantly lighter winds for most of the day.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Monday, August 11 - Day Three
Light winds around 7knots are predicted (estimating the wind gradient from 40m height in model to 5m height). Wind direction from NW in morning, but trending left to Southerly by the afternoon.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Sunday, August 10 - Day Two
Wind strength around 7knots (estimating the wind gradient from 40m height in model to 5m height) by start time. Wind direction from SE with a slight left trend.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Saturday, August 9 - Day One
Light winds increasing to 10knots by the end of the day. Wind direction from ESE with no major trends in direction.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Friday, August 8
Light winds less than 10knots all day. Wind direction from SE with no major
trends in direction. Outlook for Saturday is similar. Saturday/Sunday might seen an
increase to 12knots.
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Thursday, August 7
Light winds increasing to 10knots by the end of the day. Wind direction from ESE with no major trends in direction.
Note: PredictWind uses dual inputs into the model - from CMC (Canadian Meteorological Centre) and GFS (Global Forecast System / NOAA). With two comparative forecasts, when they both agree, a higher degree of confidence in the forecast is attained.
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Wednesday, August 6
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