Storm forecasters have good news

With less than 100 days to go until the start of the 2025 Atlantic season, the National Hurricane Center is working to finish up its reports of the devastating and deadly 2024 season.

In a triumph for research and forecast improvement efforts, the Center’s track forecast performance for 2024 – which saw five landfalls on the U.S. mainland – was the best in its history, the center stated in a preliminary review of its forecasts for last year.

“We’re improving our forecasts by 24 hours every decade. That’s remarkable,” reports Rick Spinrad, an oceanographer and administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from 2021 until 2025. “The 5-day forecast of hurricane track is as accurate as the 3-day forecast was 20 years ago.” – Full report